Publication - Below the zero lower bound: a shadow-rate term structure model for the euro area
In June 2014, the Governing Council of the ECB decided to decrease the deposit facility rate, one of its key policy rates, from zero to -10 basis points. Another rate cut to -20 basis points followed in September. Swap and bond yields of short- to medium-term maturities eventually turned negative as well. The removal of the zero lower bound raises the question of how to analyze the driving forces and exploit the information content of the yield curve in an unprecedented negative-rate environment.





